Critical values robust to p-hacking for one-sided and two-sided z-tests

Critical Values Robust to P-hacking

This paper builds a model of hypothesis testing with p-hacking and gives critical values that correct the inflated type 1 error rate caused by p-hacking. As a rule of thumb, robust critical values are classical critical values with one fifth of the significance level.

July 2023 · Adam McCloskey, Pascal Michaillat
Share of Better scientists in the tenured population depending on the power of the scientific field

Persistence of False Paradigms in Low-Power Sciences

This paper develops a model of science. It shows that due to homophily in tenure decisions, false paradigms may persist when a science has low power. Low power may come from a lack of evidence, or from a reluctance to base tenure decisions on available evidence.

December 2018 · George Akerlof, Pascal Michaillat