Almost all markets have slack—idle or unemployed workers, unsold goods, empty rooms or seats. This book builds a theory to explain this basic reality. It shows that slackish markets are generally inefficient and sharply state-dependent; it explains what drives business cycles and why recessions are so costly; and it describes how monetary and fiscal policy should stabilize the economy when slack surges.
Front matter
Part I. Introduction
- Chapter 1. Introducing slack into business cycle research
- Chapter 2. Cost, prevalence, and cyclicality of slack
Part II. Slackish markets
- Chapter 3. Matching function
- Chapter 4. Slackish market model
- Chapter 5. Prevalence of price and wage rigidity
- Chapter 6. Rigid price norm
- Chapter 7. Endogenous capacity
- Chapter 8. Customer relationships
- Chapter 9. Market efficiency and inefficiency
Part III. Application to the labor market
- Chapter 10. Slackish labor market model
- Chapter 11. Policies in a slackish labor market
- Chapter 12. Full employment and unemployment gap
Part IV. Slackish business cycles
- Chapter 13. Slackish business cycle model
- Chapter 14. Slackish Phillips curve
- Chapter 15. From unsold goods to unemployed workers
Part V. Policies to stabilize slackish cycles
Part VI. Conclusion
- Chapter 19. Ten takeaways
- Chapter 20. Opportunities for future research
- Chapter 21. Scientific context of the slackish model
Technical appendix
- Appendix A. Mathematical background
- Appendix B. Elasticities
- Appendix C. Hodrick-Prescott filter
- Appendix D. Geometry of the matching function
- Appendix E. Alternative matching cost
- Appendix F. Analysis in terms of visits
- Appendix G. Solution concept
- Appendix H. Convexity of the Phillips curve
- Appendix I. Policy multipliers in the two-market model
Citation
Michaillat, Pascal. 2026. “A Theory of Economic Slack.” Draft manuscript. https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/.
@unpublished{M26,
author = {Pascal Michaillat},
year = {2026},
title = {A Theory of Economic Slack},
note = {Draft manuscript},
url = {https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/}}