Almost all markets have slack—unemployed workers, unsold goods, idle employees and machines, empty seats, tables, or rooms. This book builds a theory to explain why. It finds that slackish markets operate differently from Walrasian markets: they adjust through slack instead of prices and are generally inefficient. Slack also helps us understand business cycles: it lets us measure full employment, identify the shocks that disturb the economy, explain movements in unemployment and inflation, and detect recessions early. Finally, the book describes how monetary and fiscal policy should stabilize the economy when slack surges.
Front matter
Part I. Introduction
- Chapter 1. Introducing slack into business cycle research
- Chapter 2. Welfare cost, prevalence, and cyclicality of slack
Part II. Slackish markets
- Chapter 3. Matching function
- Chapter 4. Slackish market model
- Chapter 5. Prevalence of price and wage rigidity
- Chapter 6. Rigid price norm
- Chapter 7. Endogenous capacity
- Chapter 8. Customer relationships
- Chapter 9. Market efficiency and inefficiency
Part III. Application to the labor market
- Chapter 10. Slackish labor market model
- Chapter 11. Policies in a slackish labor market
- Chapter 12. Full employment and unemployment gap
Part IV. Slackish business cycles
- Chapter 13. Slackish business cycle model
- Chapter 14. Slackish Phillips curve
- Chapter 15. From unsold goods to unemployed workers
Part V. Policies to stabilize slackish cycles
Part VI. Conclusion
- Chapter 19. Ten takeaways
- Chapter 20. Slack around the world
- Chapter 21. Scientific context of the slackish business cycle model
Technical appendix
- Appendix A. Mathematical background
- Appendix B. Elasticities
- Appendix C. Hodrick-Prescott filter
- Appendix D. Geometry of the matching function
- Appendix E. Alternative matching cost
- Appendix F. Analysis in terms of visits
- Appendix G. Solution concept
- Appendix H. Convexity of the Phillips curve
- Appendix I. Inflation and tightness dynamics at the zero lower bound
- Appendix I. Policy multipliers in the two-market model
Citation
Michaillat, Pascal. 2026. “A Theory of Economic Slack.” Draft manuscript. https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/.
@unpublished{M26,
author = {Pascal Michaillat},
year = {2026},
title = {A Theory of Economic Slack},
note = {Draft manuscript},
url = {https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/}}