Almost all markets have slack—idle or unemployed workers, unsold goods, empty rooms or seats. This book builds a theory to explain this basic reality. It shows that slackish markets are generally inefficient and sharply state-dependent; it explains what drives business cycles and why recessions are so costly; and it describes how monetary and fiscal policy should stabilize the economy when slack surges.
Front matter
Part I. Introduction
- Chapter 1. Introducing slack into business cycle research
- Chapter 2. Prevalence, cyclicality, and social cost of slack
- Chapter 3. Research on which this book is based
Part II. Slackish markets
- Chapter 4. Matching function
- Chapter 5. Slackish market model
- Chapter 6. Prevalence of price and wage rigidity
- Chapter 7. Rigid price norm
- Chapter 8. Endogenous capacity
- Chapter 9. Customer relationships
- Chapter 10. Market efficiency and inefficiency
Part III. Application to the labor market
- Chapter 11. Slackish labor market model
- Chapter 12. Policies in a slackish labor market
- Chapter 13. Full employment and unemployment gap
Part IV. Slackish business cycles
- Chapter 14. Slackish business cycle model
- Chapter 15. Slackish Phillips curve
- Chapter 16. From unsold goods to unemployed workers
Part V. Policies to stabilize slackish cycles
Part VI. Conclusion
- Chapter 20. Ten takeaways
- Chapter 21. Opportunities for future research
- Chapter 22. Connections to other business cycle models
Part VII. Technical appendix
- Appendix A. Hodrick-Prescott filter
- Appendix B. Elasticities
- Appendix C. Geometry of the matching function
- Appendix D. Visit-based solution
- Appendix E. Solution concept
- Appendix F. Convexity of the Phillips curve
- Appendix G. Mathematical background
Citation
Michaillat, Pascal. 2026. “A Theory of Economic Slack.” Draft version. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Available at https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/.
@book{M26,
author = {Pascal Michaillat},
year = {2026},
title = {A Theory of Economic Slack},
publisher = {Princeton University Press},
address = {Princeton, NJ},
note = {Draft version},
url = {https://pascalmichaillat.org/18/}}